Sports Betting Revolution – Unlock the Spread Monopoly and Collusion

What If the betting line or spread was established by four sports advisory companies without collusion or previous knowledge of each others numbers!

Lets face some facts about this number or point spread that usually comes from one Sports Advisory Group. This number is sold or distributed to the sports betting outlets online and the legal Sports Books in Nevada. These outlets put their little tweak on the line by 1/2 point or 1 point or an extra $5 on the money odds. However, everybody will post their number which is the same or within a point of each other. This is the equivalent of price fixing and collusion in any other industry.

How come the Sports Betting Industry has the same price or spread on their betting board? WHY – because nobody wants to rock the boat!

What if this process of establishing a betting line was not a monopoly but was provided by at least four sports consulting groups that were independent of each other. Each group would then post their calculated number for the worldwide sports betting outlets to buy and use for their operation.

This new mode of operation would unlock the monopoly that exists when the line is established. Now what happens? Would some books dare to post numbers that are different from others by 4 or 5 points either way. I doubt it since nobody wants to rock that boat. Is this collusion by the sports books so they can keep their share of the market and not create a price or point spread war.

The process of constructing the point spread number is probably done through a software program with all the statistics and other information to get a base number. Then the actual number is refined to include public perception as to where the public will place their money. It is no secret that Sports Books speculate or predict at what number the public will be evenly divided.

There are a number of times when the line is not even close to the final score. They do come close about 65% of the time. However, when the spread is minus 7 and the favorite wins by 21 points or the underdog wins outright, their number is way off.

If that minus 7 point favorite is listed at minus 11 points at another outlet would there be a Revolution among Sports Book operators. Would this difference of opinion cause a lot of anxiety with casino management. I am sure they would question each others actions after doing the same thing together all these years.

For a true and balanced market to emerge in any industry, there should be some options and competition among the players involved. A Betting Exchange is very close to a more balanced betting market since the competition is against other bettors. The spread is the same but the money odds are much better with more options.

If the Sports Books in Nevada and online books decide to re-arrange their Sports Book operations to include some alternatives to the spread, they will increase their handle and be more competitive. I would install some form of Spread Betting that is big in Europe. Allow more options with alternative lines and charge a little more vigorish. Some online books have alternative run lines on baseball. They post the run line at minus 1.5 runs on the favorite and underdog in the same game.

The Sports Betting outlets need to become more innovative to maintain a market share. We know they probably will not “rock that boat” unless one or more sports betting venues develops a rogue or maverick mentality. This would be a big gamble that could payoff and increase market share. However, it is ironical that sports books do not want to be in the gambling business. They just want to collect their commission and avoid too much risk. They are more concerned about the heavy hitters than the small average recreational bettors who lose more often.

Promoting or seeing changes in any financial markets is similar to getting people to stop smoking or obese people to lose weight. Change is difficult for a lot of people and businesses. As they say “talk is cheap”. However, I feel technology is becoming more prevalent in Sport Betting industry. Hopefully, it will create a more vibrant market with better options and more competition within the sports betting community.

Football Bet Sports 101 – Where to Place a Good Bet

Football fans believe that betting on spreads gives you a million fortunes on bet sports. It is not that simple. Winning a series of bets is kind of difficult. Experts say starting on spreads is a good turn but it does not work that way. Here are the things that you need to know before placing your bet.

o Sports bookmakers’ advice gamblers to place a $100 bet as a start. Although this seems like the best way to start, you can collect your own sum of bet. Usually, professionals place as much as $20,000 per game while online sports bettors place as low as $1. It is really up to you with the amount you want to place.

o Locate the best bet outlet. If you are near the gambling capital like Las Vegas, you do not need to go far. If you live far from gambling cities, you may need to search for a bookie, which is a person who arranges wagers. If you are really that busy or far from the gambling locations, well, you might want to try betting online. Whatever the most convenient outlet may be for you, take it. As long as you can manage the outlet you have chosen, you’ll stand a good chance with your bet.

o After selecting the location, the next step is to find the best wager. The most common football wager is the point spread. Here, people favor the strong team over the weak team. They will study the team who seems to outweigh the other team and carefully predict the triumph of their bet for that team. This is the easy wager. Some wagers are composed of seasons or leagues. The wagers depend on your patience of studying the best team playing.

o Now that you know the wager you want, the following step should be to fall in line and call for your bet. Of course, you will choose to bet over the winning team. Choosing seems like the easy part when it comes predicting who will win. Actually, this is not true. You need to carefully focus on the team’s ranks, picks, and the team player scores. Here you will know who the best player is and whether or not your team is really the best. When you’re predicting the best team, you need proofs so you’re really sure about placing that bet. While football bet sports is on the rise, you should still be careful about placing bets.

o Starting with a wager still costs you more than a penny. For instance, if you place a bet of $10, it is likely that you will arrive with a $9.10 payoff. Hence, if you want $10 in your pocket, place a bet of $11. Sport bookmakers usually get their commission with your bets because this is their way of making profit. So, do not get surprised. As I have said earlier, making bets with the winning team is expected. This is referred to as the “house advantage.” It is one of the oldest ways to bet but it still works.

Always remember that placing your bet sports do not only mean looking at ranks, picks, types of wagers, and starting bet. In the end, it’s about how well you manipulate all of these factors that matters. Football game is one hard bet. It does not only take your capital away from you. It also plays with your emotions, so, take a hold of it.

The Concept of Value in Sports Betting!

In sports betting you need to make sure that your bets (and trades) are good value in order to make a profit. If you do not do this you will still win bets but profits may be harder to achieve.

Let me explain this last statement. I actually lose more bets than I win – but the prices or odds at which I bet compensate for the losing plays.

If you bet all season long on the NY Yankees (US Baseball) or Arsenal FC (English Premiership) – to win each game – you will probably end up with a fairly good winning strike rate – but it is unlikely that you will make any money. The odds will be ‘short’ and you may do better to try and predict when these teams might falter – and bet against them at the over inflated prices being offered on the opposing teams. These opposing teams will most likely offer the value – as they are not the popular betting choice.

When we flip a coin, we know that the true chance of it turning up heads or tails is 50% or ‘evens’ (1/1).

As an example we set up a ‘coin flipping’ betting event. A neutral party begins to flip the coin. With each subsequent flip there is a definite preference for heads in the betting. The bookmaker or sportsbook takes this in his stride, he has already set the odds at 10/11 (-110 US) for either outcome which takes into account his commission. He knows that this trend is fairly usual as heads is often favored in this type of event. He decides, however, to balance his books a little by reducing his odds on heads to 5/6 and increasing tails to 1/1.

Heads is now an even shorter price and represents no value. Tails now stands at a slightly better price but still only represents the ‘true odds’ or likelihood of winning at 1/1 or 50% and so is not value.

The event continues and still the betting favors heads. Why? Well the ‘average bettor’ does not really understand ‘value’, he does not understand that heads might well be a bad bet or hold no value. He just enjoys betting and since ‘heads’ is winning – he wants to bet on heads.

The bookmaker balances his books again with a dramatic shortening of the odds for heads to 4/9 and a lengthening to 6/4 (+150 US), on tails.

At this point the professional bettor would step in and begin to place bets on tails. He knows that he has got value at 6/4 for an event where the ‘true odds’ of success are 1/1.

How Does Online Sports Betting Work?

Online sports betting have become very popular throughout the world. People can bet on a variety of different sports events through an online betting site. To get a better idea of what makes online sports betting so popular it helps to know how it works. It deals with not only getting a bet placed but also with signing up for betting services.

What happens first is that a customer will sign up for services from an online sporting betting site. The person will need to send one’s information and fund an account with money from a credit or debit card. After the information goes through and the person’s account is funded that customer can begin betting on sports online.

After a period of time the member could end up earning money as a result of successful bets. That member will generally be able to request a check for the money that the person is asking for. Commissions are generally required but these commissions are usually less than ten percent of the value that the customer is asking for in many cases.

When looking into joining an online sports betting site it will help to look into the regulations that are involved. Many websites will receive registration through small countries to work to offer online betting services. These include countries like Costa Rica. This is important because a website will need to be fully licensed by an international government that supports online betting in order for it to work properly. The business will also be subject to regular government checks to make sure that all betting services are fairly supported.

While betting online customers can bet on a variety of different sports events. These events include football events, boxing matches, horse races and even golf events. People can even bet on events with spreads, which deal with how much of a margin of victory that a team will receive, and even over/under events that deal with how many points or other things will happen in certain events. The bettor will then place a certain monetary amount on the bet that is being made.

After the event takes place the sportsbook will take out the money that the customer lost or deposit money that the customer won. This generally takes place not long after the event that was bet on is finished.

Online sports betting are a unique thing to check out. This is a form of entertainment and gaming where a customer will sign up for services, fund an account and bet on various different sports events. It will be important when getting registered for one of these online sports betting sites to look into the regulations that are involved.

‘Middling’ the Pointspread in Sports Betting

What is ‘middling’ and why bother with it? Middling is where you can seriously increase your bet winnings by profiting from both sides of the action.

You can do this by carefully monitoring the movement of the line and finding a situation where betting both sides becomes advantageous. The down side would be a small loss due to the vig / juice (sportsbook commission).

You can use this betting strategy in any sports where you have a pointspread, so NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB and college sports. As an example lets take a basketball match-up between the Lakers and the Cavaliers. We’ll keep things simple and for arguments sake say that the spread for the first posted line reads: Lakers -3, Cavaliers + 3.

The smart bettor evaluates this spread and determines that the Lakers are good value and so bets the Lakers at -3 on the pointspread.

A day or two later the bookmaker decides that he is taking a lot of action on the ever-popular Lakers, so in an attempt to even things up, he decides to move the spread to Lakers -4.5 and by default the Cavaliers to +4.5. The linesmaker fundamentally wants to attract more action on the Cavaliers and slow down the amount of action he is receiving on the Lakers.

The odds remain at this level and the smart bettor decides to go in again and bet the Cavs at +4.5. What does he hope to achieve by this? He is looking to middle the spread.

If the Lakers go on to win by 4 points he wins his Laker bet at -3 and wins his Cavalier bet at +4.5. Say he wagered $110 on both bets at the standard odds of -110, he makes $200. If he loses, he loses on one bet for -$110 and wins on the other for +$100, and so only loses $10.

Now of course the bettor won’t be hitting his middles in every game or even every fifth game but all he needs to do to break even is to hit his middles once in twenty-one games. So if his total loss after twenty games is $200 (20x$10) and he hits his middle on game twenty-one, he will win $200.

In all likelihood the smart player will be hitting his middles far more often than once in every twenty-one games. He’s getting terrific value and reducing his down side dramatically – the reason for betting middles in the first place. If the bettor does not worry about his downside, he may simply choose to stick with his original bet, in this case the Lakers at -3, knowing that he has a great bet with the spread having moved to -4.5.

It gets better for ‘middlers’ in terms of their downside because they can still make a profit even if they don’t hit their middles. Quite often they will ‘push’ (draw/break even) on one bet and win on the other. So if the Lakers win by 3 points, the bettor would push that bet at -3 and get his stake returned for no loss – but he will win on the Cavaliers’ bet at +4.5 making a profit of $100.

Remember that the better the line movement the more chance there is of hitting a ‘middle’.